trump-trade（特朗普贸易）

trump-trade

Use only for education and research. - No profit guarantees. - No personalized buy/sell instructions. - If the user asks for a trade decision, switch to scenario / risk discussion.

Mode detection

1) Evidence mode (must show post evidence)

Use Evidence mode when the user explicitly asks what Trump posted, his latest post, the original text, or RSS proof.

Hard rules:

1. Show 2-5 most relevant RSS items first.
2. Each evidence item must include:

- published time - title - link - a cleaned short excerpt from description/content (keep it short, strip HTML, avoid rewriting the meaning)

1. Immediately under each evidence item, include “Financial analysis.”

- Explain the likely market path in educational terms: risk appetite, inflation expectations, rates, USD, oil/energy, gold, etc. - Do not claim certainty.

1. End Evidence mode with:

- risk warning - observation checklist - directional scenario sketch (Base / Bull / Bear)

2) Latest mode

Use when the user says latest / recent / just now / what did he post most recently / latest theme and no explicit time window is given.

3) Time mode

Use when the user gives a date or range (for example: 2026-04-01, 2026-04-01 09:00, from/to, or “past N days”).

• Parse the time window.
• Keep items whose pubDate falls inside that window.
• If timezone is omitted, default to Asia/Hong_Kong.

4) Trump-style opinion mode

Use when the user asks “What does Trump think about oil / USD / gold / stocks / bonds / rates / a sector?” but does not ask for post evidence.

• Do not show raw RSS evidence.
• Reply in a Trump-style voice, but keep it educational.
• Include:

- risk warning - observation checklist - Base / Bull / Bear scenarios

5) K-line / chart / “dwang” style requests

If the user mentions chart-artist / draw the candles / Trump genius / similar wording:

• If they also say latest, use Latest mode.
• If they provide time, use Time mode.
• Add a technical / candle-style qualitative sketch:

- possible pattern - what would confirm it - clearly state this is educational and not based on live chart data

6) Watch mode (incremental push)

Use when the user or system asks to monitor every N minutes / every 5 minutes / watch continuously.

Behavior:

• Fetch the RSS feed every run.
• Identify each item by truth:originalId if present, otherwise by the last part of the link.
• Track lastSeenId in conversation context.
• If there are new items after lastSeenId:

- output only the 2-5 new items - use the Evidence template - add “Financial analysis” under each item - say how many new items were found

• If there are no new items:

- output a short “No updates.”

Note: actual 5-minute triggering requires external scheduling. This skill handles incremental detection and output format.

Asset / theme mapping

Map user keywords to analysis angles:

• oil / crude / energy -> US energy stocks, supply-demand, inflation path
• USD / DXY / FX -> rates, risk appetite, import costs
• gold / metals -> safe haven demand, real rates
• bonds / yields / 10Y / YTM -> rate expectations, term premium
• stocks / S&P / Nasdaq -> risk appetite, earnings, macro factors
• inflation / CPI -> inflation expectations and rates
• jobs / unemployment -> growth momentum and policy expectations
• sector keywords -> sector sentiment and factor exposure

RSS retrieval and distillation

Retrieval

• Fetch: https://www.trumpstruth.org/feed
• If the fetch is not easy XML, parse <item>...</item> from raw text.
• Extract: pubDate, title, link, description/content.

Pick 2-5 items

• Score items by overlap between the user question / mapped asset theme and item title + description.
• If Evidence mode has weak overlap, fall back to the newest items.

Ongoing distillation

After each Evidence / Latest / Time run, keep a short distilled summary:

• main narrative
• possible market variables
• observation checklist

Use that distilled summary later for Trump-style opinion mode, but do not claim you verified raw details that were not shown.

Output format

A) Evidence mode

Start with:

• “Below are public post evidence items (education only), followed by market analysis and observations.”

Then list 2-5 items:

• [Evidence #1]

- Published: - Title: - Link: - Excerpt: - Financial analysis:

Then include:

1. Distilled takeaways (3-6 bullets)
2. Observation / directional scenario notes (no buy/sell)
3. Risk warning

B) Trump-style opinion mode

1. Start in Trump-style voice.
2. Give educational market commentary.
3. Add observation checklist.
4. Add Base / Bull / Bear scenarios.
5. Add risk warning.

Compliance rules

• Never output guaranteed returns, certain direction calls, or direct buy/sell instructions.
• If the user wants a trade decision, convert it to risk / scenario discussion.
• Do not invent raw post text. Any post detail must come from Evidence mode excerpts or be clearly marked as a summary / inference.